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Abdominal aortic aneurysm risk factors: who is at risk and who gets screened
An abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is a bulge in the main artery as it runs through the belly. Most cause no symptoms until they burst. Here is what NHLBI, MedlinePlus and the USPSTF list as risk factors, the signs of a rupture, and who is advised to have a scan.
What an abdominal aortic aneurysm is
Aortic aneurysms are balloon-like bulges in the aorta, the main artery carrying oxygen-rich blood to your body. The abdominal part of the aorta is the most common place for an aneurysm (NHLBI). The USPSTF usually defines an AAA as a width of 3.0 cm or more (USPSTF 2019).
Aortic aneurysms can develop and grow before causing any symptoms. If one grows large, it can burst (rupture) or tear the wall of the artery (dissection), and both can be life-threatening (NHLBI). Up to 81% of people die when an AAA bursts (USPSTF 2019).
Risk factors that raise the risk
- Smoking. Cigarette smoking is one of the main factors that raises the risk of an aortic aneurysm, especially an abdominal one. In current smokers, an AAA may grow more quickly and be more likely to burst (NHLBI). The USPSTF calls smoking the strongest predictor of who gets an AAA, how fast it grows and whether it bursts, and the more someone has smoked, the higher the risk (USPSTF 2019).
- Age. The risk goes up as you age, and AAAs are most common in adults after age 65 (NHLBI).
- Being male. Men are more likely than women to develop aortic aneurysms. But an existing aneurysm is more likely to rupture at a smaller size in women than in men (NHLBI).
- Family history. One in 10 people with an AAA have a family history of them, and the chance of developing one is 1 in 5 for people who have a parent, brother, sister or child with the condition (NHLBI). The USPSTF says a close relative with an AAA doubles the risk (USPSTF 2019).
- Atherosclerosis and other artery disease. Atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease and peripheral artery disease are risk factors, as are aneurysms in other blood vessels (NHLBI).
- High blood pressure. It is the leading risk factor for aneurysms in the chest and also a risk factor for AAA (NHLBI).
- Unhealthy cholesterol levels (NHLBI) (MedlinePlus).
- Other conditions. COPD, kidney conditions such as chronic kidney disease or polycystic kidney disease, obesity, vasculitis and pheochromocytoma (a rare adrenal tumor that can raise blood pressure) (NHLBI).
- Stimulants. Drugs such as cocaine raise blood pressure and the risk of an aortic aneurysm (NHLBI).
Race and ethnicity
NHLBI says AAAs are less common in Hispanic, African American and Asian American people (NHLBI), and MedlinePlus lists being white as a higher risk for AAA (MedlinePlus).
Which ones you can change
| Risk factor | Can you change it? | Where to look here |
|---|---|---|
| Smoking | Yes | Quit smoking check |
| High blood pressure | Yes, with treatment | High blood pressure risk factors |
| Unhealthy cholesterol | Yes, with treatment | High cholesterol risk factors |
| Artery disease in the legs | Can be managed | PAD risk factors |
| Age, sex, family history | No | AAA screening check |
You may not be able to prevent an aortic aneurysm, but MedlinePlus says you can lower your risk by not smoking or quitting, managing your blood pressure and cholesterol, eating a heart-healthy diet, getting regular physical activity, managing stress, and knowing your family history and asking your provider about screening (MedlinePlus). NHLBI also advises avoiding stimulants such as cocaine (NHLBI).
Signs of a rupture: call 911
A ruptured aortic aneurysm can cause sudden, severe internal bleeding and is a medical emergency. MedlinePlus says to call 911 right away if you have (MedlinePlus):
- Sudden, severe pain in your belly, chest or back
- Dizziness
- A fast heartbeat
Before a rupture, most aortic aneurysms cause no symptoms. When they do, signs can include a pulsing or throbbing feeling in the belly, and pain in the neck, jaw, back, chest, shoulder or belly (MedlinePlus). NHLBI also lists feeling full after eating very little (NHLBI). Tell your provider about these.
Who gets screened
The screening test is a one-time abdominal ultrasound. It finds 94% to 100% of aneurysms, does not hurt and uses no radiation (USPSTF 2019). The USPSTF advises (USPSTF 2019):
| Who | Recommendation | Grade |
|---|---|---|
| Men 65 to 75 who have ever smoked | One-time screening with ultrasound | B |
| Men 65 to 75 who have never smoked | Offer selectively, not to everyone | C |
| Women 65 to 75 who have ever smoked or have a family history | Not enough evidence to recommend for or against | I |
| Women who have never smoked and have no family history | Do not screen routinely | D |
"Ever smoked" means 100 or more cigarettes in your life (USPSTF 2019). The AAA screening check shows which row fits you and whether Medicare covers the scan.
Common questions
Can I have an aneurysm and feel fine?
Yes. Most aortic aneurysms do not cause symptoms (MedlinePlus), which is why screening matters for people at higher risk.
Does quitting smoking help if I already have one?
NHLBI says an AAA may grow more quickly and be more likely to burst in current smokers (NHLBI), so quitting is worth it at any point. Ask your provider how often your aneurysm should be checked.
My father had an AAA. What should I do?
Tell your provider. A parent, brother, sister or child with an AAA raises your own chance (NHLBI), and family history is part of the USPSTF screening advice for women and of the MedlinePlus screening list (USPSTF 2019) (MedlinePlus).
Sources
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute. What Is Aortic Aneurysm? Last updated March 24, 2022. www.nhlbi.nih.gov/health/aortic-aneurysm
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute. Aortic Aneurysm: Causes and Risk Factors. Last updated March 24, 2022. www.nhlbi.nih.gov/health/aortic-aneurysm/causes
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute. Aortic Aneurysm: Symptoms. Last updated March 24, 2022. www.nhlbi.nih.gov/health/aortic-aneurysm/symptoms
- MedlinePlus, National Library of Medicine. Aortic Aneurysm. Health topic page, last updated October 14, 2026. medlineplus.gov/aorticaneurysm.html
- US Preventive Services Task Force. Screening for Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm: US Preventive Services Task Force Recommendation Statement. JAMA. 2019;322(22):2211-2218. www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/uspstf/recommendation/abdominal-aortic-aneurysm-screening
Written and maintained by the uncovermyrisk.com editorial team. We do not have a medical reviewer; every claim links to its primary source above. Last reviewed: 2026-11-05. Spotted an error? See About.